详细信息
后金融危机与加工贸易——东亚、拉美的经验教训及对中国的启示
Post-financial Crisis and Processing Trade——Experience and Lessons from East Asia,Latin America and Implications for China
文献类型:期刊文献
中文题名:后金融危机与加工贸易——东亚、拉美的经验教训及对中国的启示
英文题名:Post-financial Crisis and Processing Trade——Experience and Lessons from East Asia,Latin America and Implications for China
作者:王怀民[1]
第一作者:王怀民
机构:[1]河南财经政法大学国际经贸学院
第一机构:河南财经政法大学国际经济与贸易学院
年份:2011
卷号:27
期号:2
起止页码:22-25
中文期刊名:兰州商学院学报
外文期刊名:Journal of Lanzhou Commercial College
收录:CSSCI:【CSSCI_E2010_2011】;
语种:中文
中文关键词:后金融危机;加工贸易;通货膨胀;劳动力成本;东亚;拉美
外文关键词:post-financial crisis; processing trade; inflation; labor cost; East Asia; Latin America
摘要:研究表明,物价水平和劳动力成本对加工贸易活动有着非常重要的影响。在20世纪60年代至80年代中期,东亚一些经济体由于保持了物价水平和工资水平的相对稳定,促进了加工贸易活动的良性发展;南美一些经济体则由于物价水平与工资水平之间的恶性循环而使其比较优势逐渐丧失,加上在后石油危机时期错误的财政政策导致的恶性通货膨胀,彻底葬送了其加工贸易活动。2008年美国发生的次贷危机使得中国的加工贸易出口大受影响。各国实施的财政刺激政策虽然使国际贸易回暖,但经济恢复的不确定性和债务问题引发的通货膨胀风险仍对加工贸易活动构成威胁。"富士康事件"说明,中国必须重视通货膨胀问题和劳动力成本上涨问题,力争将它们对加工贸易活动的负面影响降到最小。
The results show that price level and labor costs have a very important influence on processing trade.Between 1960s and the mid-1980s,processing trade in East Asia has a healthy development as the price and wage level of some economies remain relatively stable;However,the ones in Latin America lose their comparative advantages gradually because of the vicious circle between the price and wage level,at the same time,processing trade is ruined by serious inflation that is caused by wrong financial policy in post-oil crisis.As the economic crisis occurring in American has impressed Chinese processing trade great in 2008,international trade is warmed by financial policies that are carried out in each country,but inflation risk caused by the uncertainty of economic recovery and debt will still threaten the processing trade.The Foxconn events illustrate that we must pay attention to inflation and labor costs in order to minimize their negative impact on processing trade.
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