文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Household Livelihood Strategy Changes and Agricultural Diversification: A Correlation and Mechanism Analysis Based on Data from the China Family Panel

作者：Zhu, Jiguang[1,2];Sun, Yaru[3];Song, Yunxing[1,4]

第一作者：朱纪广

通讯作者：Song, YX[1];Song, YX[2]

机构：[1]Henan Univ Econ & Law, Coll Econ, Zhengzhou 450046, Peoples R China;[2]Henan Univ Econ & Law, Academician Lab Urban & Rural Spatial Data Min, Zhengzhou 450046, Peoples R China;[3]Henan Univ, Coll Geog & Environm Sci, Kaifeng 475004, Peoples R China;[4]Univ N Carolina, Dept City & Reg Planning, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA

第一机构：河南财经政法大学经济学院

通讯机构：[1]corresponding author), Henan Univ Econ & Law, Coll Econ, Zhengzhou 450046, Peoples R China;[2]corresponding author), Univ N Carolina, Dept City & Reg Planning, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA.|[1048422]河南财经政法大学经济学院;[10484]河南财经政法大学;

年份：2022

卷号：11

期号：5

外文期刊名：LAND

收录：;Scopus(收录号：2-s2.0-85132662210);WOS:【SSCI(收录号:WOS:000803215400001)】；

基金：This research was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42171182), the National Philosophy and Social Science Foundation of China (20BJY113), China Scholarship Council, the Natural Science Outstanding Youth Fund Project of Henan Province (222300420021), the Key Scientific Research Project of Henan Province (22A790002) and the Training Program for Young Backbone Teachers in Colleges and Universities of Henan Province (2021GGJS069).

语种：英文

外文关键词：household livelihood strategy; agricultural diversification; heterogeneity; lag effect; China

摘要：Social and economic transformations have a profound impact on farmers' livelihood strategies, and changes in these strategies, in turn, deeply impact the agricultural system. Based on four waves of China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) tracking data, this paper uses a Markov transfer probability matrix to explore changes in farmers' livelihood strategies and builds multiple logit and fixed-effect models to empirically analyze the impact and lag effect of these changes on agricultural diversification. The results show that (1) farmers who choose not to shift away from an agricultural livelihood show no significant change in agricultural diversification. Compared with households showing an increase in the agricultural diversification index, households showing a decrease in this index are more inclined to diversify if they choose to maintain an agricultural livelihood either part-time or full-time. For households with an unchanged agricultural diversification index, their index value is more likely to remain unchanged if they choose to maintain a part-time or fulltime agriculture-oriented livelihood. Moreover, (2) the impact of livelihood strategy changes on agricultural diversification displays regional heterogeneity. The index value of farmers in the central region shows no statistically significant change over the sample period, while the index value of farmers in the eastern region increases. Farmers in the eastern and central regions with unchanged index values are more inclined to show persistent index values. (3) Changes in farmers' livelihood strategies have a lag effect on agricultural diversification that becomes significant at two lag periods.