文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：河南省农村人口年龄结构对消费影响的实证分析

英文题名：Henan Rural Population Age Structure on Analyzing the Impact of Consumption

作者：张玉周[1,2]

第一作者：张玉周

机构：[1]河南财经政法大学统计系;[2]西南财经大学人口研究所

第一机构：河南财经政法大学统计与大数据学院

年份：2011

期号：5

起止页码：75-79

中文期刊名：人口与经济

外文期刊名：Population & Economics

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2008】；社科基金资助期刊;CSSCI:【CSSCI2010_2011】；PubMed;

语种：中文

中文关键词：农村;人口年龄结构;消费;协整;OLS

外文关键词：rural; population age structure; consumption; cointegration; OLS

摘要：本文利用1987～2008年年度资料对河南省农村人口年龄结构影响农村居民消费的情况进行分析,发现少儿抚养系数、老年抚养系数与消费存在长期协整关系,并且少儿抚养系数对农村居民消费有显著的正影响,老年抚养系数对消费的影响不显著。因此,提出通过加大农村教育投入、完善农村养老保障、细分市场来应对人口年龄结构变化对消费的影响。
By using 1987~2008 annual data on the age structure of the rural population in rural areas of Henan province consumption analysis of the circumstances,found that children dependency ratio,old age dependency ratio and the existence of cointegration between consumption and child dependency coefficient on the consumption of rural residents were significant.The negative impact of elderly dependency coefficient on consumption was not significant.Therefore proposed through increased investment in rural education,improve the rural old-age security,market segments to respond to changes in population age structure effect on consumption.