文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：劳动力成本上升对制造业国际竞争力的影响——基于时变参数状态空间模型

作者：宋云星[1];陈真玲[1]

第一作者：宋云星

机构：[1]河南财经政法大学经济学院

第一机构：河南财经政法大学经济学院

年份：2019

卷号：38

期号：4

起止页码：53-60

中文期刊名：企业经济

外文期刊名：Enterprise Economy

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2017】；

基金：教育部人文社会科学研究项目"诱导性技术创新视角下能源拥挤困境的破解路径研究"(项目编号:17YJC90015);河南省教育厅人文社会科学研究高校重点科研项目"河南省制造业规模结构拥挤及规模结构优化"(项目编号:17A790003)

语种：中文

中文关键词：制造业;劳动力成本;状态空间模型

外文关键词：manufacturing industry;labor cost;state-space model

摘要：本文利用卡尔曼滤波和状态空间模型研究制造业劳动力成本、宏观经济环境对中国制造业国际竞争力的影响,研究结果表明:制造业的劳动力平均成本与中国制造业国际竞争力正相关,良好的宏观经济发展环境也是促进中国制造业国际竞争力的一个重要因素;同时,三变量之间的协整检验也表明三者之间存在长期的均衡关系,这一结果并不会因为衡量制造业国际竞争力指标的改变而发生变化。政府应该给予企业经济增长稳中向好的预期,这将有助于消除经济不确定性,改善企业投融资决定,合理安排生产;同时,适当地提高制造业劳动者的工资水平,可以在增强制造业国际竞争力的同时,缓解收入差距,刺激国内消费需求。
This paper uses the Kalman filter and the state-space model to study the influence of the labor cost of manufacturing industry and the macro-economic environment on the international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry.The results show that the average labor cost of manufacturing industry is positively related to the international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry,and a good macro-economic development environment is also an important factor to promote the international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry.At the same time,the cointegration test for the three variables also shows that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship among the three variables,and this result will not be changed by the change of the index of international competitiveness of the manufacturing industry.The government should give the enterprise economic growth a stable and positive expectation,which will help to eliminate the economic uncertainty,improve the enterprise investment and financing decision and make a reasonable arrangement of production;at the same time,the government should properly raise the wage level of manufacturing workers,which can not only enhance the international competitiveness of the manufacturing industry,but also alleviate the income gap and stimulate domestic consumption demands.