文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：城镇化进程对旅游产业竞争力的门槛效应研究

英文题名：Study on the Threshold Effect of Urbanization on the Competitiveness of Tourism Industry

作者：林爽[1];赵磊[2]

第一作者：林爽

机构：[1]河南财经政法大学旅游与会展学院,河南郑州450046;[2]浙江工业大学管理学院,浙江杭州310023

第一机构：河南财经政法大学旅游与会展学院

年份：2020

卷号：35

期号：11

起止页码：27-41

中文期刊名：旅游学刊

外文期刊名：Tourism Tribune

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2017】；社科基金资助期刊;CSSCI:【CSSCI2019_2020】；

基金：国家社会科学基金项目“新型城镇化背景下我国旅游业影响经济增长的效应、机制与政策研究”(14CGL023)资助。

语种：中文

中文关键词：城镇化;旅游产业竞争力;可行性广义最小二乘法;门槛模型

外文关键词：urbanization;competitiveness of tourist industry;feasible generalized least squares;threshold model

摘要：该研究以城镇化效应为视角,采用中国31个省区市(不含港、澳、台地区)2003—2016年面板数据,在构建指标体系测算旅游产业竞争力指数的基础上,综合运用可行性广义最小二乘法与门槛回归模型进行实证检验,旨在考察城镇化对旅游产业竞争力的影响效应及其非线性门槛特征。研究发现,城镇化显著促进了旅游产业竞争力的提升,城镇化水平越高,越有利于旅游产业竞争力的提升。基于门槛模型检验结果还表明,城镇化对旅游产业竞争力的作用存在显著的门槛效应,随着城镇化水平超越两个门槛值(60.05%、69.20%),城镇化对旅游产业竞争力提升的贡献程度先上升后下降。研究结果表明,城镇化对旅游产业竞争力的提升作用具有动态非线性特征,城镇化提升旅游产业竞争力的作用在城镇化水平较低的地区更为明显。
A key strategy for China’s economic development,urbanization necessarily affects tourism which is sensitive to external macro environment.It provides tremendous opportunities to improve the quality and efficiency as well as competitiveness of the tourist industry.However,studies on the relationship between urbanization and tourism development rarely discuss whether the former affects the latter.Divergence still exists and previous studies have not yet touched upon the exact effect of urbanization on tourism,or the effect of the S-curve of urbanization.Because of its effect of factors aggregation,urbanization can aggregate the competitive factors of tourism.It affects the construction of competitive advantages of the local tourism industry,and comprehensively improves the industrial competitiveness through its aggregation of competitive factors such as tourism resources,consumption demand,investment and industry structure.Moreover,the Scurve of urbanization(Northam,1975)causes a dynamic,non-linear change in the positive correlation of urbanization on the competitiveness of the tourism industry.On the ground of the above,this paper proposes the following two hypotheses:first,increase in urbanization level can lead to improvement in the competitiveness of the local tourism industry;second,the positive correlation between urbanization and the competitiveness of the tourist industry is dynamic and non-linear.To test the hypotheses,this paper takes as sample the panel data of 31 provincial-level administrative regions in China from 2003 to 2016.First,based on the dynamic characteristic of the industry performance and competition potential of tourism development,this paper constructs an evaluation index system for the competitiveness of the tourism industry and calculates the competitiveness indexes for the tourism industry of the 31 regions between 2003 and 2016 through the factor analysis.Then,this paper tests the effect of the urbanization on the tourism industry with feasible generalized least squares(FGLS).In addition,this study also conducts the robustness check using SYS-GMM.Finally,by using the Threshold Regression Model(Hansen,1999),this paper examines the dynamic and non-linear characteristic of the positive correlation between urbanization and competitiveness of the tourism industry.Thus,this paper provides theoretical explanation and policy suggestions on the construction of competitive advantages through effective use of urbanization as well as on the improvement of the competitiveness of the local tourist industry.The results indicate that urbanization has notably improved the competitiveness of the tourism industry,the latter increasing as urbanization proceeds.The Threshold Regression Model further proves that urbanization has a notable threshold effect on the competitiveness of the tourism industry.As the urbanization level passes the two thresholds of 60.05%and 69.20%,its contribution to the competitiveness of the tourist industry increases before decreasing.The result shows that the positive effect of urbanization on the competitiveness of the tourism industry is dynamic and non-linear,and that the effect is more evident in regions with lower urbanization levels.This paper’s possible innovations and contributions in research mainly are as follows.First,it has explained in theory the influence mechanism of urbanization on the development of the tourism industry,conducted empirical tests with a systematic and disciplined approach,and consequently expanded and deepened the studies on the relationship between urbanization and the tourist industry.Second,by applying the threshold regression model widely used in econometrics,this paper further proves the threshold effect of urbanization on the competitiveness of the tourism industry and the dynamic,non-linear characteristic of the effect.Through theoretical analysis and empirical tests,this paper has proved the positive effect of urbanization on improving the competitiveness of the tourism industry as well as the dynamic,nonlinear characteristic of the effect.It not only is a beneficial replenishment to the in-depth discussions on the relationship between urbanization and tourism development,but also bears practical significance for promoting urbanization and improving the competitiveness of the local tourism industry.Based on the studies,this paper has also proposed policy suggestions and discussed future research directions.