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人类发展水平不平等测度与收敛性特征——基于购买力平价法和汇率法的比较    

Inequality Measurement and Convergence Characteristics of Human Development Leve——A Comparison Between Purchasing Power Parity and Exchange Rate

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:人类发展水平不平等测度与收敛性特征——基于购买力平价法和汇率法的比较

英文题名:Inequality Measurement and Convergence Characteristics of Human Development Leve——A Comparison Between Purchasing Power Parity and Exchange Rate

作者:李冻菊[1];申童童[2]

第一作者:李冻菊

机构:[1]河南财经政法大学统计与大数据学院,郑州450046;[2]东北财经大学统计学院,辽宁大连116012

第一机构:河南财经政法大学

年份:2022

期号:17

起止页码:37-42

中文期刊名:统计与决策

外文期刊名:Statistics & Decision

收录:CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2020】;CSSCI:【CSSCI2021_2022】;

基金:国家社会科学基金重点项目(21ATJ003);河南省高等学校哲学社会科学创新团队项目(2017-CXTD-07);河南省哲学社会科学基础研究重大项目(2019-JCZD-02);河南省教育厅人文社会科学项目(2022-ZZJH-416)。

语种:中文

中文关键词:人类发展指数;购买力平价法;汇率法;不平等;空间收敛

外文关键词:human development index;purchasing power parity;exchange rate method;inequality;spatial convergence

摘要:文章基于2017年轮ICP数据,分别使用购买力平价法和汇率法计算1990—2019年的人类发展指数(HDI),并对人类发展指数进行不平等测度和收敛性分析。研究结果表明:(1)大多数经济体基于汇率的HDI低于基于PPP的HDI,且两类HDI的偏差程度与人类发展指数之间呈显著的负相关关系,间接证明了在人类发展指数中同样存在类似的宾大效应。(2)使用汇率法测度全球HDI不平等会将其夸大,尤其会高估高人类发展水平经济体和低人类发展水平经济体之间的差异,而使用PPP数据进行不平等测度,得到的结果更可靠。(3)全球人类发展水平之间不存在α收敛,全样本、中等和低人类发展水平经济体都存在显著的绝对β收敛和条件β收敛,一般政府最终消费支出占GDP的比重会降低收敛速度,居民和非营利机构的最终消费支出和固定资本形成总额占GDP的比重对收敛速度具有提升作用。
Based on the data of 2017 ICP,this paper uses purchasing power parity(PPP)method and exchange rate method respectively to calculate the Human Development Index(HDI)from 1990 to 2019,and also makes an analysis on the inequality measure and convergence of HDI.The results go as below:(1)The HDI based on exchange rate in most economies is lower than the PPP-based HDI in most economies,and there is a significant negative correlation between the deviation of the two types of HDI and the HDI,which indirectly proves that there is a similar Penn effect in the HDI.(2)Inequality could be overstated when the exchange rate method is used to measure global HDI,and in particular,the differences between economies with high human development level and those with low human development level could be.And PPP data used to measure inequality,the results obtained are more reliable.(3)There is noαconvergence among global human development levels,but there is significant absoluteβconvergence and conditionalβconvergence in the full sample,medium and low human development level economies.The proportion of general government final consumption expenditure in GDP will reduce the convergence speed,while the proportion of residents’and non-profit institutions’final consumption expenditure and gross fixed capital formation in GDP will improve the convergence speed.

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