文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：基于ANN-CA模型的郑州城市空间拓展研究

作者：刘荣增;陆文涛;杜力卿

第一作者：刘荣增

机构：[1]河南财经政法大学城乡协调发展河南省协同创新中心;[2]首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院;[3]郑州大学区域经济研究所;

第一机构：河南财经政法大学

年份：2019

卷号：26

期号：12

起止页码：77-85+49

中文期刊名：城市发展研究

外文期刊名：Urban Development Studies

收录：CSTPCD;;北大核心:【北大核心2017】；CSSCI:【CSSCI2019_2020】；CSCD:【CSCD2019_2020】；

基金：国家社科基金项目(17BJL065);中原千人计划基础研究领军人才(ZYQR201810122);

语种：中文

中文关键词：城市空间拓展;人工神经网络;元胞自动机;郑州市;

外文关键词：Urban Space Expansion;Artificial Neural Network;Cellular Automata;Zhengzhou City

摘要：运用ENVI和ArcGIS从郑州市2013年和2018年遥感数据中解译、提取土地利用现状信息,利用GeoSOS平台获取地理元胞转换的规律,并导入影响郑州城市空间拓展的各影响因素实现土地利用类型"自主"选择的模拟。实证分析过程中,假定在社会、经济等外部环境不发生剧烈变动的情况下,基于ANN-CA(artificial neural network—cellular automata)模型,以近期同样的元胞地理转换规则,分析郑州市城镇建设用地拓展的时空演变规律,然后对郑州市2025年城市空间拓展情况进行预测。研究表明,郑州城市空间拓展未来在"东扩西拓南延北联"发展模式的基础上,将形成以南(新郑、航空港区)拓为主、其余方向拓展为辅的扩展模式。
The paper simulates and predicts the expansion of Zhengzhou urban space based on coupled artificial neural network and cellular automata model.In this paper,ENVI and ArcGIS are used to interpret and extract land use information from remote sensing data of Zhengzhou in 2013 and 2018.What’s more,GeoSOS platform is used to acquire the rules of geographic cell transformation,and importing the influencing factors of Zhengzhou urban spatial expansion to realize the simulation of“independent”choice of land use types.In the process of concrete empirical analysis,assuming that the external environment such as society and economy does not change dramatically,this paper analyses the temporal and spatial evolution law of urban construction land expansion in Zhengzhou by using the same cellular geographic transformation rules in recent years based on the ANN-CA model.Finally,the urban spatial expansion of Zhengzhou in 2025 is forecasted.The research shows that Zhengzhou will carry out its development mode on the basis of“Eastern and Western Expansion,Southern Extension and Northern Alliance”in the future.The expansion mode is mainly in the South direction,supplemented by the other directions.