文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：城镇化进程中平原农区县域人口分布变化特征及影响因素--以豫东平原柘城县为例

英文题名：Characteristics and influencing factors of population distribution in plain agricultural areas in the process of urbanization:A case study of Zhecheng county in the eastern plain of Henan province

作者：杨慧敏[1,2];许家伟[2,3,4];李小建[2,3]

第一作者：杨慧敏

机构：[1]河南财经政法大学旅游与会展学院,郑州450046;[2]河南财经政法大学城乡协调发展河南省协同创新中心/河南省城乡空间数据挖掘院士工作站,郑州450046;[3]河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心,开封475004;[4]河南省城乡规划设计研究总院股份有限公司,郑州450044

第一机构：河南财经政法大学旅游与会展学院

年份：2023

卷号：42

期号：6

起止页码：1528-1544

中文期刊名：地理研究

外文期刊名：Geographical Research

收录：CSTPCD;;北大核心:【北大核心2020】；CSCD:【CSCD2023_2024】；

基金：国家自然科学基金项目(41701197、41971223);教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(22YJC790152)。

语种：中文

中文关键词：人口分布;时空分异特征;规模结构;城镇化;平原农区;县域单元

外文关键词：population distribution;spatio-temporal differentiation characteristics;scale structure;urbanization;plain agricultural region;county

摘要：村域尺度上的人口分布变化特征及影响因素研究对于推进以县城为重要载体的城镇化建设具有重要意义。基于农业普查数据和七普数据,综合运用空间探索分析和GWR、MGWR模型等对平原农区柘城县进行研究。结果表明:①村域人口的规模分布以中小等级村庄为主,但位序-规模模型的拟合指数变化表明人口分布具有向县城、乡镇等高等级聚落集中的态势;城-镇-村层级结构大致呈“金字塔型”,且城区和镇区常住人口数趋于增加。②区域内人口分布格局呈动态变化,常住人口与户籍人口比值较高的区域呈局部集中态势,即县城常住人口数量相对较多。③人口分布是村庄发展基础、区位条件、服务设施、产业发展综合作用的结果。其中,研究初期人口规模、村庄耕地面积的影响较大,其次为县城可达性,但其影响程度均趋于减弱,小学学校数量和商超数量的影响呈增强态势,村庄特色产业则逐渐向负向影响转变。④影响因素的尺度效应使其对不同空间单元的作用强度存在明显差异。在县域城镇化高质量发展进程中,可根据以上趋势,通过城区、镇区的优化布局和产业发展、服务设施的灵活差异化布局等举措以促进人口分布格局的进一步优化。
The study of population distribution changes and influencing factors at the village scale is of great significance for promoting urbanization construction with county seats as an important carrier.Based on the agricultural census data and the seventh national census data,this paper comprehensively used the spatial exploration analysis and GWR model,MGWR model to study the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics and influencing factors of the population distribution change in Zhecheng,which is a representative county in the eastern plain of Henan province.The results show that:(1)The size distribution of the population in the village unit of the study area is characterized by small and medium-sized villages,but the fitting index change of the rank-size model indicates that the population distribution tends to be concentrated in high-level settlements such as the county seats and townships.The scale structure of the urban system is roughly“pyramid”,but the number of permanent residents in urban areas and towns has increased.(2)The population distribution pattern in the region shows a dynamic change,but the areas with a high ratio of permanent population to registered residence population shows a local concentration in the urban areas,that is,the permanent population in the county seat is relatively large.(3)The distribution pattern of county population is comprehensively effected by the regional development foundation,location conditions,service facilities and industrial development.Among them,population size at the initial survey stage,and the village cultivated land area have a greater impact on population distribution,followed by the county accessibility,but the impact degree tends to weaken,the impact of the number of primary schools and supermarkets has increased,and that of village characteristic industries gradually changes to a negative impact.(4)The scale effect and spatiotemporal heterogeneity of influencing factors further indicate differences in their intensity of action on different spatial units.Therefore,based on the above mentioned,in the high-quality development process of county urbanization,we aim to further optimize the population distribution pattern by improving the layout of urban and township areas,promoting industrial development,and developing flexible and differentiated service facilities.