文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：能源价格、环保技术与生态环境质量——基于包含碳排放DSGE模型的分析

英文题名：Energy Price,Environmental Protection Technology and Ecological Environment Quality——Based on the DSGE Model Containing Carbon Emissions

作者：武晓利[1]

第一作者：武晓利

机构：[1]河南财经政法大学经济学院

第一机构：河南财经政法大学经济学院

年份：2017

卷号：31

期号：7

起止页码：116-120

中文期刊名：软科学

外文期刊名：Soft Science

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2014】；CSSCI:【CSSCI2017_2018】；

基金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(71603243);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(16YJC790111)

语种：中文

中文关键词：能源价格;环保技术;碳排放;DSGE模型;环境质量

外文关键词：energy price; environmental protection technology; carbon emissions; DSGE model; environment quality

摘要：通过构建三部门双系统的DSGE模型,研究能源价格、生产技术及环保技术等外生冲击对经济系统和生态系统的动态影响。研究表明:(1)能源价格对产出和非能源消费具有正效应,对能源消费、投资、就业和碳排放量具有负效应,且碳排放量的负效应持续性较强;(2)生产技术对产出、非能源与能源消费、投资和就业具有正效应,但长期内导致碳排放量上升;(3)环保技术对产出、非能源与能源消费、投资和就业具有正效应,同时有效降低碳排放,且环保技术冲击对各变量的影响均有较强的持续性;(4)能源价格仅对产出具有短期影响,而环保技术改善能够在显著降低碳排放的情况下长期提升产出与投资,实现经济增长与生态环境的协调发展。
By constructing DSGE model of dual systems and three departments, this paper studies the dynamic effect of ex- ogenous impact such as energy, environmental protection technology and production technology to the economic system and ecosystem. The result shows that： （ 1 ） The energy price has the positive effect for output and energy consumer products, and has the negative effect for energy consumption, investment, employment and carbon emissions, and the negative effect for carbon emissions is stronger. （2） The production technology has the positive effect for production, energy consumption, energy consumption, investment and employment. But this factor will increase carbon emissions in a long time. （3） The environmental protection technical level has the positive effect for output, non-energy consumption, energy consumption, in- vestment and employment, also can effectively reduce carbon emissions, and green technology impact＇s sustainability is stronger for the macroeconomic variables than other factors. （4） Energy price only has a short-term influence on output, but environmental protection technology improvement ean significantly reduce carbon emissions level and enhance the level of output and investment for a long time, realizing the harmonious development of economic growth and ecological environment.