文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：消费、福利与下岗——跨时期均值—方差效用模型

英文题名：Consumption,Welfare and Layoff——An Intertemporal Mean-variance Utility model

作者：周雄飞[1]

第一作者：周雄飞

机构：[1]河南财经学院经济学系

第一机构：河南财经政法大学经济学院

年份：2002

期号：5

起止页码：11-14

中文期刊名：经济经纬

外文期刊名：Economic Survey

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2000】；

语种：中文

中文关键词：跨时期均值-方差效用模型;中国;下岗政策;职工收入;消费需求;职工福利;国有企业

外文关键词：mean-variance utility; intertemporal model; consumption; welfare; lay-off

摘要：下岗政策在很大程度上降低了国企职工的消费需求 ,并使低能力职工处境恶化 ,使高能力职工处境改善 ,他们的政策支持度与其能力正相关 ,削弱下岗政策负作用的惟一途径是提高国企职工的预期收入和降低收入的不确定性。刺激职工消费需求的措施也能够增进职工的福利 ,因而存在政策一致性。一步到位的下岗方式可能导致无法想像的需求冲击 ,渐进式下岗至少在经济衰退时期更为可取 ,包括下岗在内的任何改革措施出台时机的选择要尽量逆经济风向而行。
The lay-off policy undermines to a large extent the consumption demand of the workers in the state-owned enterprises; the lay-off policy worsens the living conditions of the incompetent and in the meantime betters those of the competent. As a result, support on the policy from the workers is positively correlated with their capability. The only way to eliminate the side effect of the policy is to raise the workers' anticipated income and reduce the uncertainty; the policy to stimulate the workers' consumption demand will in turn improve their welfare, thus the policy remains consistent; a once-for-all lay-off policy may produce an unexpected shock of demand and a step-by-step policy is more acceptable at least during the economic recession; the timing of any reforms including lay-off policy should be converse to economic trend.