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我国出口依存度与经济风险承受能力的非匹配性    

The Inconsistency between Export Dependency and the Capability of Enduring Economic Risk of Our Country

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:我国出口依存度与经济风险承受能力的非匹配性

英文题名:The Inconsistency between Export Dependency and the Capability of Enduring Economic Risk of Our Country

作者:朱红恒[1]

第一作者:朱红恒

机构:[1]河南财经政法大学经济学院

第一机构:河南财经政法大学经济学院

年份:2010

期号:4

起止页码:30-34

中文期刊名:经济经纬

外文期刊名:Economic Survey

收录:CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2008】;CSSCI:【CSSCI2010_2011】;

基金:2009年度河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(2009FJJ027);2009年度河南省高等学校青年骨干教师资助项目(2009GGJS-071)

语种:中文

中文关键词:出口依存度;经济风险;非匹配性

外文关键词:export dependency; economic risk; inconsistency

摘要:近两年,受国际经济形势的影响,我国GDP增长速度、价格水平持续出现较大幅度的下降,同时失业率大幅度上升,这与我国长期以来的"低消费、高投资、高出口"的增长模式有关。2007年以前,出口高速增长虽然对我国的经济增长做出了一定贡献,但过高的出口依存度也给我国经济带来巨大的贸易摩擦风险、产业风险、就业与收入风险、经济安全风险。这些风险无论是从供求总量角度,或是从物价水平角度,还是从就业角度来看,都超出了我国经济的承受能力。我国出口依存度与经济风险承受能力的非匹配性是我国近两年经济下滑的主要原因。
In the last two years, due to the influence of international economic situation, the growth rate of GDP and price dropped greatly and at the same time unemployment rate increased to a large extent in our country,which is related to the growth pattern of low consumption, high investment and high export. Before 2007, although the rapid growth of export contributed to the economic growth of our country, the high export dependency has brought about great trade friction risk, industrial risk, employment and income risk, economic security risk to China. These risks have gone beyond the enduring capability of Chinese economy not only from the perspective of gross supply and demand, price level but also from the perspective of employment. The inconsistency between export dependency and the capability of enduring economic risks of our country is the prime reason for the decline of economy in the recent two years.

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