文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：我国延迟退休年龄政策对青年人的就业效应研究

英文题名：Research on the Effect of China's Delayed Retirement Age Policy on Young People Employment

作者：李磊[1,2];席恒[1]

第一作者：李磊

机构：[1]西北大学公共管理学院,西安710127;[2]河南财经政法大学公共管理学院,郑州450046

第一机构：西北大学公共管理学院

年份：2019

卷号：0

期号：1

起止页码：255-267

中文期刊名：管理评论

外文期刊名：Management Review

基金：教育部社科研究重大课题攻关项目(14JZD026)

语种：中文

中文关键词：延迟退休;青年人;就业数量;就业质量;就业结构

外文关键词：delayed retirement;young people;employment;employment quality;employment structure

摘要：从国际经验看,延迟退休年龄是许多国家应对人口老龄化问题的重要政策手段,但该政策对就业的影响,尤其对青年人就业的影响备受关注。本文主要对延迟退休年龄政策如何影响青年人就业数量、质量和结构进行研究。通过分析发现,对于就业数量,该政策在短期内对青年人就业会产生一定的就业"挤出效应",但在长期内会产生一定的就业"吸纳效应";对于就业质量,该政策对应届毕业大学生不会产生负面影响,而对青年农民工会产生显著的负面影响;对于就业结构,该政策在大部分行业内不会对青年人就业产生显著影响。
With the prolongation of per capita life expectancy and the decline of fertility rate,China is facing the dilemma of aging population and long-term labor shortage. In response to this problem,many people in the government and academia called for the implementation of a delayed retirement age policy. From the perspective of international experience,the deferred retirement age is an important policy measure for many countries to deal with the problem of population aging. However,the impact of this policy on employment,especially the employment of young people has attracted attention. Faced with the increasingly severe ageing situation,delaying retirement age policy is becoming an inevitable choice for China. This paper mainly studies how the delayed retirement age policy affects young people’s employment quantity,quality and structure. Through the analysis,it is found that for the number of new jobs,this policy will produce a'crowding-out effect'for young people’s employment in the short term,but it will produce an'absorption effect'for employment in the long-term;in terms of the quality of employment,the policy will not have a negative impact on graduating students,but will have a significant negative impact on young farmers’ unions;in terms of employment structures,this policy will not have a significant impact on young people’s employment in most industries.