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FDI对农村剩余劳动力转移的影响:集聚抑或是扩散    

The Impact of FDI on Transference of Redundant Rural Labor Force: Agglomeration or Diffusion

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:FDI对农村剩余劳动力转移的影响:集聚抑或是扩散

英文题名:The Impact of FDI on Transference of Redundant Rural Labor Force: Agglomeration or Diffusion

作者:赵德昭[1]

第一作者:赵德昭

机构:[1]河南财经政法大学财政税务学院

第一机构:河南财经政法大学财政税务学院

年份:2018

卷号:39

期号:1

起止页码:118-131

中文期刊名:财贸经济

外文期刊名:Finance & Trade Economics

收录:CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2017】;社科基金资助期刊;CSSCI:【CSSCI2017_2018】;

基金:国家社科基金青年项目"地方政府财政治理能力与农业转移人口就地城镇化问题研究"(16CJL023);湖南省国际经济与国际工程管理研究中心课题"外商直接投资影响农村剩余劳动力转移集聚的机理与政策研究"(14IEPM03);河南财经政法大学青年拔尖人才资助计划(hncjzfdxqhbjrc201710)

语种:中文

中文关键词:外商直接投资;农村剩余劳动力;空间计量分析;新型城镇化

外文关键词:Foreign Direct Investment, Redundant Rural Labor Force, Spatial Econometrical Analysis,New Urbanization

摘要:本文系统构建了包含FDI和农村剩余劳动力在内的理论分析框架,采用1996-2014年的省际面板数据,运用探索性空间数据分析方法对FDI和农村剩余劳动力的分布格局和时空跃迁进行深入分析。研究结果显示,二者在区域分布和空间集聚类型上基本保持一致,已形成以东部地区为集聚中心的"核心-外围"格局,具有明显的空间近邻效应。全国样本的空间计量结果表明,FDI对农村剩余劳动力转移具有显著的正向影响效应,农村剩余劳动力转移过程中的正向空间溢出效应较为显著,其空间集聚格局具有"马太效应"特征。分地区样本的空间计量结果表明,中西部地区FDI对农村剩余劳动力转移的促进作用要小于东部地区,但东部地区农村剩余劳动力转移的空间集聚效应明显弱于中西部地区。本文的政策含义是,实施区域差异性的引资政策,充分发挥其正向空间集聚和空间溢出效应,同时利用FDI产业的梯度转移解决农村剩余劳动力转移集聚的空间非均衡问题。
This paper establishes a theoretical analysis framework that includes FDI and redundant rural labor force. Moreover, the exploratory spatial data analysis method is used to analyze the distribution pattern and temporal and spatial transition of FDI and rural surplus labor force from 1996 to 2014. The results show that they are both remained the same types of spatial agglomeration and regional distribution, and have formed a " core-periphery" pattern with the eastern region as a gathering center, with a clear spatial proximity effect. The spatial econometrical analysis based on the national sample shows that FDI has significant positive impacts on promoting the transference. Simultaneously, there are significant positive spatial spillover effects on the transference, and its spatial concentration has obvious " Matthew Effect" feature. The spatial econometrical analysis based on Sub-regional sample show that FDI in central and western has significantly smaller positive impacts on promoting the transference of redundant rural labor force than the eastern, but its spatial clustering effect is weaker. The policy implication of this paper is in implementing the different regional policy of FDI, taking advantage of its positive spatial agglomeration and spillover effect, and using the gradient transfer of FDI industry to solve the problem of spatial imbalance of redundant rural labor force as well.

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