文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：地方主官更替与城市空间增长——基于地级市面板数据的分析

英文题名：The Replacement of Local Political Leader and The Growth of Urban Space: Based on Panel Data Analysis of Prefecture-Level City in China

作者：白燕飞[1,2];娄帆[1,2];李小建[1,2,3];杨慧敏[1,2]

第一作者：白燕飞

机构：[1]河南大学环境与规划学院;[2]河南财经政法大学城乡协调发展河南省协同创新中心;[3]河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心

第一机构：河南大学环境与规划学院,中国河南开封475004

年份：2017

卷号：37

期号：10

起止页码：100-107

中文期刊名：经济地理

外文期刊名：Economic Geography

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2014】；CSSCI:【CSSCI2017_2018】；CSCD:【CSCD2017_2018】；

基金：国家自然科学基金项目(41471117);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(16JJD770021);河南省软科学重大项目(152400410098)

语种：中文

中文关键词：地方主官更替;城市空间增长;作用机制;政府决策;土地出让

外文关键词：local political leader replacement; urban space expansion; mechanism; government decision-making; land leasing

摘要：中国政府决策对经济活动具有重要作用,作为地方政府的主要决策者,各市域主政官员的更替会较大程度地影响城市经济增长和空间增长。基于2000—2013年250个地级市数据,研究了地方主官对城市空间增长的影响及作用机制。结果表明:(1)地方主官更替年份比非更替年份的城市空间增长率平均低2个百分点;地方主官在更替1年后对城市空间增长具有显著正向影响,会使城市空间增长提高1.5个百分点。进一步分析显示,东部地区地方主官更替年份空间增长波动较大,东北和中部次之,西部保持均衡;大城市和小城市地方主官更替对空间增长波动的影响较中等城市大。(2)地方主官通过土地出让和基础设施建设影响城市空间增长。主官更替的年份城市土地出让面积会显著下降,而后土地出让面积增加;地方主官更替年份对基础设施的影响不显著,在更替后的两年显著为正。上级决策者要采取相关政策,避免官员换届更替带来的城市增长波动。
The government decision-making has an important role in economic activities. As the controller of the government, the replacement of the local political leader in each city will have an impact on the city＇s economic growth and spatial growth. Therefore based on the data of 250 prefecture level cities in 2000-2013, this paper studies the influence of local political leader replacement on urban spatial growth and its mechanism. The results show that： （1） The replacement of the local political leader may lead to the city＇s spatial growth rate fell 2 percentage points. We also find that one year after the replacement the urban spatial growth will increase by 1.5 percentage points. The growth of urban space in different regions is different with the replacement of local political leader. The growth in eastern region is more volatile than that in northeast and central regions and the growth in western regions is more balanced. The size of the city also affects this relationship. The influence that the replacement brings on urban space growth is more significant in big cities and small cities. （2） Local political leader indirectly affects urban space growth through land leasing and infrastructure construction. The area of land leasing reduce significantly the year when local political leader changes. In the first year after replacement, the area increases to maximum and then it declines with the end of term of office. In the year when the replacement happens, the impact on the infrastructure construction is also not obvious while in the two years followed it＇ s significant. This paper have a practical significance on promoting economy fast and sustainabledevelopment. The Government should adopt relevant policies and measures to avoid the fluctuations in urban spatial growth because of the replacement of local political leader.